Freight Market Spotlight: Rates, Fuel, and Paperwork Fix
Released 10/14/2026
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Episode description
The freight market is moving, and pro drivers need to know where it stands. In this episode of Always Pneumatic, Never Static, Marcus breaks down current spot rates, diesel fuel costs, freight capacity, and the supply and demand shifts shaping what drivers are hauling and what they are earning right now. If you track the market or run your own operation, this is the breakdown you have been looking for. But first, a brand new recurring segment makes its debut. Laura Explains It All brings Office Manager Laura Holstein and driver Jackie Thomas together to walk through a real paperwork flaw on a pay sheet and show exactly how to fix it. If your settlements have ever left you scratching your head, this segment was built for you. Always Pneumatic, Never Static drops every Wednesday at 5 a.m. Subscribe, take the episode quiz at podcast.bulktransit.com for your shot at a $400 Amazon gift card, and keep those lines clear.
Marcus Bridges is back with two big firsts: the debut of a brand new recurring segment called “Laura Explains It All,” and the first-ever Freight Market Spotlight. In the segment, office manager Laura Holstein and driver Jackie Thomas walk through a real payroll discrepancy live on air, and the message lands loud and clear: your paperwork is your paycheck. Then Marcus digs deep into the numbers, breaking down spot rates, diesel prices, capacity data, and what it all means for drivers and owner/operators hauling bulk freight.
Episode Highlights
New segment alert: “Laura Explains It All” makes its debut. Laura Holstein joins the show for the first time in a recurring role, walking drivers through real paperwork and payroll questions. The format is simple: a driver brings an issue, Laura breaks it down, and everyone learns from it.
Jackie Thomas’s payroll discrepancy, explained: Jackie noticed his check looked short. Turns out a bad date in the system caused a load to pay out a week early, which made the prior week look high and the current week look low. Laura tracked it down even on her day off.
Jackie’s approach is the model: Laura points out that Jackie never comes in accusatory. He calls, asks questions, and trusts the process. She says drivers who approach payroll questions that way almost always get things resolved faster.
Jackie’s pink slip tip: Jackie started taking pictures of his trip sheet after noticing that loads at Honda in Marysville sometimes had the pink slip pulled out. No paper trail, no backup. A photo fixes that.
Your paperwork is your paycheck: Laura’s core message: the trip sheet, bill of lading, and weight tickets aren’t admin busywork. They are the record of what you did, and they are how you get paid accurately.
Freight Market Spotlight: the market has shifted toward carriers. Year over year, spot loads are up 27% and available trucks are down 24.5%. Van, flatbed, and reefer spot rates are all up between 44% and 48% compared to September 2025.
It is a capacity correction, not a freight boom. ATA chief economist Bob Costello said it plainly: the market flipped because of reduced capacity, not robust demand. Freight tonnage is actually still soft. But fewer trucks chasing the same freight means more pricing power for the carriers that remain.
Diesel is the wild card, and right now it is not a good one: National average on-highway diesel hit $6.38 per gallon as of September 28th, up $0.78 in just four weeks. Year over year it is $2.62 higher than September 2025. California is averaging $8.18 per gallon.
Phantom authorities are being cleaned up: Enforcement action against carriers with stacked violations and recycled authorities has taken some bad actors off the road. Every one of those closures tightens capacity and gives pricing power back to the fleets doing it right.
Construction and cement numbers matter for bulk: The US shipped approximately 100 million metric tons of cement in 2025. August construction spending came in at a $2.2 trillion annual rate. Marcus connects the dots: cement, limestone, and lime depend on construction activity, and those numbers are trending up.
From The Host
“Marcus wraps it up with a big picture summary of the trucking market in five lines: capacity shrinking, available trucks shrinking, rates rising, fuel through the roof, and freight demand holding relatively level. Not a boom yet, but the trend lines are pointing in the right direction. He also gives a full reminder to take the episode quizzes at podcast.bulktransit.com to get entered in the $400 Amazon gift card drawing.” — Marcus Bridges, Host
Transcript
Expand to read the full episode transcript.
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How's it going out there? Bulk and Spur. Welcome into another episode of the Always pneumatic, Never
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Static podcast. Thank you so much for being here today. Of course I am, Marcus, your host. Uh, with
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sometimes the most today I feel like I've got the most. I'm up early. Uh, I'm feeling good. Uh, slept
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pretty good last night. Although, I will say I had a horrific nightmare about waking up late for an
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interview that I had scheduled already today. So, uh, good news is, did not sleep through that one. So
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that's a win on the day. Uh, and an early one. It's always good to get something in the win column
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early in the day. And we're going to talk a little bit about the win column here. Uh, because we have
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a new segment for you that we're going to debut today. And it's a segment that you're probably
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going to hear multiple times. But we'll get to that in just a moment. Um, first I need to tell you
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that we are still taking entries right now for our $400
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Amazon gift card giveaway and all you have to do to get those entries into us is to take the quiz
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that comes with each episode, each week over at our website podcast.bulktransit.com. It's real
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simple, and you don't even have to score well on the quiz. All you have to do is take the quiz to
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get your entry counted. And that's a pretty big deal. We got holidays coming up. $400 on Amazon
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could pretty much knock out my Christmas shopping. Uh, because if you can't find it on Amazon, well,
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that's the jungle, people. You can't find it there. It's probably not there. So, um, a really cool
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giveaway here at a really cool time during the year. Uh, so make sure and, uh, get your entries in.
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Take the quiz. It's really easy. We're trying to make this as easy as we possibly can for you. Uh,
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it's basically just an email submission form as all it is. There will be some questions there. And,
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uh, I have to hand it to my producer, Jessica. She does a great job coming up with the questions she
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listens to every single episode. She is an example of a person that has heard me say more words than
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any one person should ever have to. Because not only does Jessica listen to all these episodes
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after they're recorded, but she has to sit in multiple meetings with me every single week. So do
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me a favor and honor her work, okay? She's the one that puts together those quiz questions for you
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after she listens to the show. So, uh, that's, you know, that's that's not fun. That's not the
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greatest job that that you can have being on the podcast team. Okay, fortunately for me, and
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unfortunately for everybody else, I get the coolest job because I'm the one that gets to talk
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to all you guys, make all these new friends, um, you know, have all the fun on the air that we get to
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have. And then there's a whole team of people behind me that take that, and they put it together
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and make it look actually as good as it comes out. So I'm just running my mouth here. Uh, honor
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Jessica's work by going in there and taking that quiz, and you could even win $400 for, uh, your,
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uh, I guess your trouble. And I should say a $400 gift card to Amazon. We're not just going to hand
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you cash. Uh, so that's that's really kind of the the big announcement that I have on the show
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today. As far as before we launch into our new segment. Uh, it's very important if you are
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interested in getting into that drawing, we will continue to take submissions, uh, here for the next
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few weeks. I'm not going to tell you when the drawing is quite yet. I still want to keep that
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very close to the vest, because, uh, the worst thing would be if you guys are just trying to come in
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here and and hear the drawing episode, it's going to mean that you didn't listen to any of the
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episodes, uh, leading up to it. And maybe you didn't take the quizzes and get your name in the hat for
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this. So really want to drive this point home to you guys if you want to be considered for the
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$400 Amazon gift card drawing, you have to take a quiz at least one, but as many as you want to
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and get yourself submitted. Okay, it's really important. podcast.bulktransit.com. That's where you're going
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to go. The last thing that I really want to happen here, and there's a reason that I'm constantly
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just hammering this on these last few episodes. I just don't want somebody to call me the week
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after we do the drawing and say, hey, what the heck, man? I've been listening to the show, and I wasn't,
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uh, I wasn't aware that that was how I got entered for the drawing, and I don't think I got entered.
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That's that's the worst thing that can possibly happen here. I want all of you guys to have a shot
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at this. If you listen to this show every week, you deserve a shot at it. So take the quiz
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over podcast.bulktransit.com. Do it for this episode. Go back and listen to episodes. Listen to the episodes in
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the future. Take the quizzes. Get into the drawing. Walk away with a $400 Amazon gift card that you
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can show off to your friends and family. While Christmas this year just doesn't even touch the
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normal paycheck, how cool would that be? Man, I got to get myself into this drawing. Um, now that I
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said that on the air, Jessica is probably going to look out for my quiz submission and it would be
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really awkward to pull my own name out of the hat on the air, so I'm not going to do that. I'm just
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going to ruminate from time to time about how cool it would be if I also had a shot at the $400
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Amazon gift card, but that's for you, the Balkan Spur driver. So get your quizzes submitted
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and stay tuned to Always Pneumatic, never static because I will tell you sooner or later, one of
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these days, one of these weeks, you're going to come in here, and all I'm going to be talking
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about is that the drawing is on X day. So just stay tuned for that, because I promise you it's
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coming around the bend before you know it. Uh, I already told you I already kind of buried the
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lead on this one a little bit, but today's podcast is an important one, because we're going to debut
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a new segment that we are going to have be a recurring segment on this show. What's a recurring
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segment? Well, it's one that we do when there's a need for it. I would love to do this, you know,
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twice a month or maybe even once a week, but, um, we would have to that. First of all, that would ask a
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lot of Laura Holstein, who's going to join us for our new bit, which is called Laura explains it all.
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And I don't want to do that to Laura because, uh, putting something on the calendar every single
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week starts to be something that, uh, can weigh on people, especially people with jobs like Laura has,
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which she's going to be responsible for a lot of different things. And that's sort of what we're
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going to talk about here today. Uh, we are going to be joined by Laura and Driver Jackie Thomas, and
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they're going to talk through a paperwork discrepancy. And look, this one happens to be
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pretty simple. Uh, Laura gave me some details about it. They got it figured out. This wasn't like a
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move mountain scenario, but it was important because it was. It has to do with Jackie's pay. And
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every single driver that's listening to this right now understands that the paperwork is
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crucial to you getting paid correctly, whatever that may be, whether it's, uh, you know, getting paid
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for every single load, getting paid for all the other things that you can get paid for here at
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this company. It all comes down to that paperwork. And so a really cool bit that we have coming up.
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In fact, I can get to it right now is Laura explains it all. Laura and Jackie are kind of
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waiting in the wings to join me, and we'll get them in here in just a moment. Um, and we'll talk
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through it. There's a lot that can be gained from this. When when this idea was pitched to me
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because, hey, I didn't come up with this one. I'm not going to lie to anybody. This was somebody
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else's idea. Uh, I thought, hey, what a fantastic way to sort of teach one driver a
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lesson about something that happened. Or maybe a driver can learn something, and we just do it live
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on the show, and everybody gets to learn from that. Um, so Laura was more than happy to join us. She's
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awesome. She's been on the show before. We've talked all about what her position entails. Now
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let's see it in action. Let's get Laura and Jackie Thomas in here for our new segment. Laura explains
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it all. You are listening to. Always pneumatic, never static. The
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Totally Pressurized podcast brought to you by Bulk Transit, where we keep the lines clear, the
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tanks empty, and the conversation anything but dry. Whether you're running powder pellets or anything
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in between, pull up a seat, crack the windows, and let's hit it.
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One of the ubiquitous things, and by the way, that is the biggest word I will use today. But one of
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the most ubiquitous things about truck driving is paperwork. And we've talked before about it on
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this podcast, making sure that it's accurate, making sure that all of it is turned in on time
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so that you get paid. There's so much that goes into something that really is, at its core, a
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simple part of taking things from point A to point B and tracking them and trying to record
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that paperwork. But we're all human. So sometimes, you know, a seven looks like a one. Uh, if
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you're me, a three can look like a five, and I don't understand how that happens, but it does. And
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so we are introducing a new bit here today on always pneumatic, never static, where we bring in a
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person that really keeps an eye on all this stuff. Laura Holstein, in a new bit that we have called
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Laura, explains it all, and I'm so happy to welcome Laura to the show today. Laura, thank you so much
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for going on this little journey with me. I figured a recurring bit here with someone like
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you that's so good at what you do is probably a good thing. And we already got a driver that's
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willing to join us and come in here and sort of talk through one of these. So that's the idea
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behind the bit. Laura, maybe you can give me a few details today on why we're here and what we're
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talking about today. And thank you so much for joining us for this bit. Well, thank you so much
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for the invitation. And thank you, Jackie, for joining us. Um. You're welcome. We, uh,
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we have, you know, 200 plus drivers at times and they're all doing paperwork. My team processes all
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the invoices and then therefore the settlement summaries for the drivers. And at times, you know,
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it can be a difference between dispatch made a mistake, the driver made a mistake, or my team made
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a mistake, and then we just have to sort it out from there. So Jackie recently reached out to me
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because he thought he was short paid. So in researching it, I was off for the day, but I carry
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my phone and my laptop and stuff everywhere I go. Um, especially, you know, because of people like
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Jackie, I want to be able to help. So I was messaging with my team, um, trying to get the
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information and the details and, and things like that. And then I was calling Jackie back, and it
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turned out that there was probably a bad date in our system that we used for the paperwork. So a
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load ended up paying out a week early. So when I talked with Jackie, he agreed that yes, the week
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prior. He thought his earnings were a bit high. And then this week, you know, this particular week they
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were short. So that's what it ended up being, after all, was just a load paid out early. But Jackie is
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always wonderful about just asking, hey Laura, can you help me figure this out? That's something I
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kind of want to touch on at Jackie Thomas joining us on the show as well. Jackie, welcome back here.
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Glad to have you as always. Um, but when I talk to Jackie on the phone, Laura and asked him if he
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wanted to come on here. Jackie, what did you tell me? You said. Oh, Laura probably thinks I'm a bit of
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a thorn in her side, but it kind of sounds like from Laura's side of things. She's happy that you,
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uh, are on top of this stuff, Jackie. And it's. It's important to you to keep a close eye on it,
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because we're talking about your pay here, right, man? Yes, yes we are. And, you know, the holiday we
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get thrown me off are what she was talking about, because they paid me a week ahead of time on the
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road and I couldn't I it took me a couple of seconds when I had to talk to her teeth and see
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what they did, and she said, that's what they did. They paid me a week ahead of time or warned.
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Gotcha. And over your time here with bulk. Jackie, um, how many times has has Laura helped you out
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with something like this? I mean, I feel like like I said at the open there, we're all human. So it's
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it's likely that this type of stuff is going to prop up every now and then. So how often do you
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and Laura connect on things like this? I'd say at least once or twice a month, because there's
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something that I don't understand sometimes on our summaries. And, um, I'll call her and she'll
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explain it to me and everything, and she does a real good job of explaining stuff. Which is why we
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named this segment. Laura explains it all. Uh, very, very good connection there, Jackie. Uh, Laura, what
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can the other drivers learn from this experience that Jackie had? And is there a message that you
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would like to deliver to the other drivers? Um, maybe the vein of. Hey, it's okay, give me a call.
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Anything like that? Right. Yeah, it's. It's great. Um, when they reach out, um, we have certain channels
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that we really prefer them to go through for a payroll discrepancy and to go through their
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terminal and things like that, because then that way, if if we're processing an entire terminal
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incorrectly and we're short paying or overpaying a handful of people out of the same location, then
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it's quite possible that I have a training issue with my team. But it you know, if somebody calls me
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or emails me or like Jackie, Jackie, I'll just stop by. You know, this morning he was in getting his
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truck serviced and he did. He came over. He didn't understand the new payroll app that we had. So I
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helped him get logged in and create his account for that. The way he approaches his questions, he
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never accuses me and my staff of making a mistake. And that's the way I approach a lot of things, is,
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you know, I don't want to be accusatory, but I, you know, I want to make sure that I understand to
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where I might ask. You know. Okay. Explain to me what happened. Because maybe I didn't understand
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what happened when I was initially looking at the paperwork. Um, because, again, I'm not in the shotgun
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seat with them. And when I do the meet and greets, I explain to them if they can just write up their
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trip sheet as if they're writing a letter to Laura. This is what happened. Because I'm not there.
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I'm not on the phone with them when they're calling their terminal manager. So I need on the
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trip sheet the things that happened. The condensed version. Well, I was so happy when you
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presented Jackie to me as as a option for today's show, Laura. Because, um, you know, the very
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first time I ever talked to Jackie on the phone, he answered the phone and said, how's it going,
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buddy? And I've been friends with Jackie ever since. I feel like Jackie has never met anything
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but a friend. Uh, Jackie, you bring a very positive attitude here, not only to the podcast, I'm sure,
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but from what it sounds like to the job in general. And I want you to talk me through Jackie,
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your mindset when it comes to that, because I think that what Laura just said there, you know,
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she called out that you're never accusatory and that might mean and hey, once again, we're all
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humans, but that might mean that maybe Laura has dealt with the driver or two in the past that are
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a bit accusatory. Uh, why is it that you take the approach that you do, Jackie, with you sit down, ask
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questions and figure it out? Well, there's you don't want to approach her.
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Um, you know, being a, like, a rude or anything like that to her about it. I mean, all you've got to do
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is talk to Laura and explain what what you think has happened. And if it hasn't
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happened, she'll figure it out for you. I mean, it's just like sometimes you're a you're dispatch
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for forget to put something on there for her. And I questioned it on my summary.
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And now it's a good thing to do, you know, to figure it out. You'll figure it out. Believe me,
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there's another good thing too I would like to bring up. And her just talked about this a couple
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of weeks ago. For some guys that like take jobs, they'll go and load a load for me at
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Honda here in Marysville. And they want to do they take the pink slip out of the trip sheet. Okay.
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So that that gives me nothing to go by. So I started taking pictures of my trip sheet now.
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And that way I've got proof of everything that I've done. And it's hard for her to figure that
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out if she don't know. So communication is always going to be a very paramount, important thing. Uh,
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Laura, can you speak a little bit on, uh, on that thing that Jackie's talking about? They're taking
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a picture of the pink slip, making sure that that stuff kind of all stays together. Uh, how did you
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guys go about kind of ironing that out together. Yeah. Anytime that they can provide us with any
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documents, you know, along with the history as to what happened, because we have to have everything,
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you know, from the weight slips to the bill of lading, to the trip sheets to present to the
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customer with the invoice. So the more they document, the more organized they are.
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Um, it shows, it shows in our billing and it shows in that driver's payroll to where if there's a
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driver who might be, maybe they're missing pay more often. It might be in their
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process or in their organizational, the way they set things up. Because, you know, we set it. We set
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ourselves up every morning when we wake up as to how we're going to approach today. And, you know, if
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you if you approach your paperwork as valuable as it is because it is your paycheck,
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all those trip sheets, all those bill of lading, all those weight tickets, That is your paycheck.
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That is your opportunity to tell me and my team what you did, how you did it, how long it took you.
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And then, you know, the more accurately it's updated and dispatch, the more accurate the
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driver's paperwork is, the more accurate the invoice will be and the more accurate the
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driver's payroll will be. Great stuff here from both of you. Thank you both so much for coming on
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here and sort of anointing this as a segment. I, I don't know how often we'll do this. I think it's
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sort of one of those things, Laura, that we can approach this when it's needed. And I hope that
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you'll use the podcast as a tool to help your team here, because we can do this any time. This is
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a short segment. We've only been here for ten minutes. We can pop one of these in any episode
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that we need to, and I hope that the drivers out there listening right now are listening to the
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way that Jackie approaches this, hearing how well it works with you and your team, Laura, and how
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problems just get solved and taken care of. And a I mean, could even maybe expose a deeper issue
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that needs to be rectified quickly. This is the way we want to go about it, not necessarily always
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here on the podcast, but you getting in touch with Laura and her team and making sure that
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everything is where it needs to be. Again, the paperwork is such an important part of what we do
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here. It's the paycheck. It's a snapshot of what you did so that you can get that money in your
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account and start buying all those adult toys that we all love to have, you know, four wheelers,
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pickup trucks, whatever it might be. And Jackie, I know that's a big part of what you're thinking of.
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There is a I got to get that money in my pocket because somebody depends on it, right? Yes, I did,
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and I want to say one more thing too. But before we get off of here in the bulk drivers, if
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you got a question or anything about your payroll summary, Laura's always got an open phone. You can
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leave a message for her and I promise you she'll get back with you. Just give her a chance. Well
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great stuff, Jackie Thomas, thank you so much for sort of being our guinea pig here today, playing
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ball with Laura and I. This is going to be a great segment. We're going to do as many of these as we
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need to. Um, I'll always have time for Laura explains it all here on the podcast. Laura
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Holstein, thank you so much for your time today as well. Uh, keep my number in your pocket. Look me up
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if you ever need to do this again. Okay? Yes. Thank you very much, Marcus. Greatly appreciate it. No
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problem. That's Laura Holstein and driver Jackie Thomas. We'll be right back here with a full
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market spotlight. I'm going to tell you everything you want to know about what's going on in the
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trucking market, and maybe even a little bit about how I feel about it. So stick around. We'll be
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right back with more. Always pneumatic, never static in just a moment.
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Great job there by Laura Holstein and Jackie Thomas for our brand new recurring segment.
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Laura explains it all. Uh, she's really going to be handy. I'm telling you right now, just listening to
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Jackie talk in that segment and on phone calls that I've had with him about getting some
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discrepancies taken care of with Laura. It's always a smooth process. It always happens fast.
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And I can tell you this, just having spoken to Laura now as many times as I have, she's here to
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help and that's going to put a smile on her face. If she can help you and get this figured out and
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make it so that it's not something that you're always thinking about out there on the road. So
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stay tuned for more. Laura explains it all. That's an as needed segment, and Laura will definitely
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keep in touch with me and drivers. If you're talking to me at any time and you want to come on
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here and have a segment with Laura where she explains something to you. Let's do it. You've got
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my number. Feel free to reach out or send me an email over at podcast.bulk transit.com
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All right. Moving forward from that, we have got a little bit of an industry spotlight here. Now, I
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thought this was an appropriate time to bring this type of information to the show, because for
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a long time and as we launched this podcast, we were still in that market. And that market was
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ugly. We were, uh, skipping along the bottom, if you will. And, uh, we'd been there for a while. This is
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sort of that post-Covid bust that happened in the freight industry. Uh, everybody knew about it.
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Everybody kind of understood what was causing it. And a lot of things have changed when we talk
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about just the first eight months of 2026. And obviously that's two thirds of the year, I get it.
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But, uh, we've still got a full quarter plus to go here. And so I think it's important to take a look
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at these numbers and just understand what's going on in the industry. Uh, from a little bit of a
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zoomed out perspective. Now, before I get into this, I do want to deliver a special little caveat here.
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I understand that the specialty freight that bull calls is largely disconnected from some of these
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numbers that I'm going to give you, because we're going to be talking about spot rates. We're going
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to be talking about sort of year over year changes in freight rates. And a lot of time that's
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looking at drive and flatbed and reefer. Um, and I understand that there's not a ton of research
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out there that is, uh, sort of overarching for the entire industry. But there's a reason I'm bringing
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you these numbers. Okay. I'm I'm bringing you a bunch of numbers here to tell a full story about
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the freight market right now and, and this spotlight that we're putting on it. So keep with
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me. Don't don't jump ship in the first couple minutes of this, because it's not talking about
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things that are directly related to what you do every single day. I promise you towards the end,
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I'm going to bring this back around and deliver some stats that are very important, uh, to the work
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that we do here at Bulk and Spur and the things that we're hauling. So let's talk about this. We're
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30,000ft up right now, and we're looking down at the freight market as a whole. What can we tell
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you? Well, rates are rising sharply. That's one thing that's a really good like we throw high
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fives around here when we hear rates are rising sharply, capacity has tightened and freight demand
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itself is actually still remaining fairly soft. But there is room for improvement there. However, I
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think you guys understand this. Uh, diesel has become an enormous wild card. That's that's the
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best thing we can call it right now. And I feel like that even it's calling it a wild card. You
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know, sometimes you flip over the ace, sometimes you flip over the deuce. The wild card can be good,
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but I feel like right now we're dealing with diesel as a wild card that only gets us like a
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six or below if we're talking actual playing cards here because, wow, it's bad and we'll get to
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more of that in a minute here. But I dug through some current data from a lot of different
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reporting agencies Dat, EIA, BLES and TS CAS 80 a CT
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research census and FDR. So there you go. That's where I'm getting my information from here. I'm
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not just going to, uh, you know, trucker Tom on on YouTube. I love his content, but I think that going
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to the source itself is the best possible way to bring you the most up to date information that I
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can. Um, the freight market has finally shifted towards carriers. I think that's probably the
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biggest headline here. Dat September numbers show a market that looks dramatically different from a
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year ago. Uh, comparing September 26th with August 26th. So just month over month, what's happened in
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these last two months? Well, spot load posts are up 11.4%. Spot truck posts
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are up 5.3% from August to September. Van load from August to September. Van load to truck
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ratio up 9.6%, flatbed load to truck ratio up 8.3 and reefer load to
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truck ratio up 4%. Okay, some pretty modest numbers there. The biggest one we saw was 11.4%.
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It's good we're moving in the right direction, but it's nothing to write home about. But what does it
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say about where we were in September 2025 compared to September 2026? This is the
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numbers, the group of numbers, excuse me, that really tell the story here. September 20th 25 to
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2026. Spot loads are up 27%, spot truck posts are down
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24.5%. Van load to truck ratio up 73.4%,
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flatbed load to truck ratio up 50.4% and reefer load to truck ratio is up
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75.4%, up 27%. With available trucks down 25%. Is is
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a pretty excellent comparison here because it really illustrates what's happening without
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needing an economics degree. And I love that because I ain't got one. There are substantially
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fewer trucks chasing more freight than there were a year ago. Act research goes even further on
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this by saying in its September report that spot equipment capacity is at decade
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lows, while its driver availability index tightened to 35.9 in August.
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Act expects tight capacity, combined with modest demand improvement, to maintain upward
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pressure on freight rates over the next 12 to 18 months. That's really good. We would love to
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see 12 to 18 months of freight rates rising. Okay. Um, it's a very significant
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reversal from what we dealt with just back in 2025 and beyond into the past. So, um,
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again, we're throwing high fives around here when we hear this type of information. Now I'm going to
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go ahead and skip over some of the spot rate stuff that's a little bit more dollar value ish.
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Um, I can tell you that we're we're sitting in a good spot. We're moving up. We're up
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4.2% in van spot rates, uh, September versus August. But here's what I can tell you as far as spot
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rates year over year. Once again, looking at September 25th, uh, comparing it to September
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2026, van spot rates are up 46.8%. Flatbed 43.8% and
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reefer, 48.4%. This isn't a 3% or a 10% raise from last year. We're talking up
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50% nearly on every single one of these markers from a year ago. Uh, at this time. So
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again, start the spirit line. We're throwing high fives all around here. Now, there is a catch here,
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because the one thing that I kept seeing in my research as I was putting this segment together
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is everybody, all of these research outlets seem to be wanting to get out in front of this and say,
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hey, freight itself isn't booming yet. That was something I saw so many different research
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organizations draw reference to. It's you think about it because you hear these rates and you
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hear the way that things are turning around and you go, well, business must just be exploding. But
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not exactly okay. The Abta's latest for hire truck tonnage index actually fell half a
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percentage point in August, after falling 1.2% in July. Our August tonnage was down
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1.6% year over year, uh, down 4.3% from the recent March peak and
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down in four of the previous five months. ATH chief economist Bob Costello explicitly said the
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market has flipped because of reduced capacity, not robust demand. And we've talked
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about this before. That capacity box checking that one was a huge thing for the freight market. Okay,
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we had a lot of extra trucks out there hanging out waiting for loads. Nobody there to, you know,
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to to give them something to put on their truck. Maybe they didn't have the contracts that bulk
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does. And so what do they do? They wait for the lowest possible rate on the board and they grab
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it. And that drives rates down. When we get rid of some of that extra capacity that maybe the
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industry doesn't actually need at this point in time, those very, very low bottom dollar freight
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rates don't get picked up because there's nobody sitting at a truck stop with an empty truck
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waiting to take it. That's what capacity tightening looks like. And it may be the most
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single important distinction for this episode is to say that trucking isn't experiencing a giant
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freight boom. According to these numbers, it's experiencing a capacity correction. There's fewer
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available trucks, plus roughly stable slash slowly improving rates, which equal
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considerably more pricing power for the trucks that remain. It's that simple. And again, it's a
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good thing we're talking high fives here. Um, it's a slow burn to all right. Capacity is not
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something that just shrinks overnight. But there has been some movement over the past year. Uh, you
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can look at this from the political sphere a little bit, but really, what it is, is a
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reinforcement of certain things that maybe hadn't been, uh, enforced as much since 2014. Uh, and
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we're talking about, of course, the, uh, the language requirements for truck drivers. We heard a lot
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about that earlier this year. And also phantom authorities. That was a big news hit.
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Probably 2 or 3 months ago. There was a big sweep across the industry to get some of these phantom
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authorities, these guys who don't care about safety, they don't do anything according to the
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laws that they have to do. They pile up a bunch of violations, they get shut down, and then they just
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move to a different authority and open up again and go back and do the same thing. And they'll do
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that time and time again. These are called phantom authorities. And they are they were a big problem
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earlier in the year. And I think that with the movement that we saw, the news coverage that we
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saw, we saw a lot of these people either shut down voluntarily, tuck tail and go find another
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business to rip off, or they're going to have to figure out a different way to go about doing it
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the wrong way. And either way, what that does is shrinks capacity. It's it's every time one of
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those guys gets their door slammed shut and gets slapped with a lawsuit or something like that,
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that's going to take them out of the industry altogether. That tightens our capacity. That gives
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a little bit more pricing power to the fleets that remain, and we want the fleets that are doing
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it the right way and doing it the safe way to be the ones that are hauling the freight here. Okay.
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Let's remember as four wheelers. Uh, when you're out there with your family, whatever the case may
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be. We're sharing the road with these guys, too. And we don't want to see somebody who has it pays no
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mind to safety and pays no minds to the laws and hours of service and things like that, uh, getting
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these loads, because that means, inevitably, that our roads are going to be less safe with these
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types of phantom fleets running around out there. So good stuff to see those you don't want to see
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drivers lose jobs, but those jobs are still available because the fleets that are doing it
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right are going to end up growing because capacity has tightened. So all good things here
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when you really sort of line it out. But obviously there's an elephant in the room and a
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big stinky diesel shaped elephant and we have to talk about it. It's probably the
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biggest news going on in the industry right now. It might be some of the biggest news going on in
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the geopolitical sphere in the world, when you really think about it. Diesel is very, very
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important not only to us, our entire economy here in the United States, but abroad as well. And
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as it is such a crucial resource. Um, we get a lot of it from abroad. Obviously, America
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produces diesel. Yeah, it's one of the things that we do, uh, but we get a lot of it from Russia. We
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get a lot of it from the Middle East. A lot of it goes through the Strait of Hormuz. Okay. And, um, let
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me just give you some numbers here, because mind boggling is one way to put it. Terrifying is
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another way to put it. But there is a little tiny, faint light at the end of the tunnel. Uh, it could
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just be somebody that turned on a flashlight in an incredibly long tunnel. Or it could be the
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light peeking out at the other end of said tunnel. We'll see. I'm not going to make any predictions
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here for you, because while I am a gambling man, um, I don't feel like this is something to be gambled
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with. I feel like this is kind of a little bit of an emergency right now, because the fleets are
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feeling it. I know that personally because, uh, we hear it in the company I work for. We hear
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from fleets, we talk to them about what's going on, and we hear the concern in their voices about
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00:34:35,330 --> 00:34:42,089
this diesel price right now. The latest EIA number available today is from September 28th.
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So by the time you hear this episode, it will be a little bit outdated. But it's a really good
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snapshot. Okay, so September 28th, the national average on highway diesel
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00:34:54,210 --> 00:35:01,089
price across the lower 48 was $6.38 a gallon. Now, one
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week earlier, which would have been the last week of August or excuse me, the the third week of
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00:35:05,889 --> 00:35:12,849
September. My apologies. We were looking at $6.52. So we've got ourselves, you know, a
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26 cent downgrade in the diesel price, which is really good. Uh, but
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14.7 cents in one week will take it, but we can't let that obscure what happened before that.
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Okay, let me tell you the story from a little bit further back. On August 31st, it was only 559 and
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September 28th it had jumped all the way to $6.38. That's an increase of about $0.78 per gallon
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in just four weeks. That is the terrifying number right there. And compared to one year ago, well,
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diesel is currently $2.62 higher per gallon than it was one year ago in September
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00:35:52,220 --> 00:35:58,939
compared with two years ago. It's $2.84 higher than it was two years ago. Now,
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00:35:58,939 --> 00:36:04,620
regionally, there's a little bit of a story to be told here because things change and some states
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00:36:04,979 --> 00:36:11,219
are looking at you neighbor to the south, California. Some states really weigh this average
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further in one direction than other states can pull it back, and regions, if you will. We're going
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to give one state its own region, and I think you already probably know who that is. Just based on
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the tone of my voice. Look there. Right down there. I feel like they can hear me all the time, and I'm
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never really saying nice things about them. But look, you got beautiful coastlines. I'll give you
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00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:35,719
that. California. Let's talk about it from a regional perspective here. Our Gulf Coast diesel
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prices right now looking at about 595596 a gallon. Okay, not great, but stomach
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00:36:42,679 --> 00:36:49,319
able. When you hear some of the rest of these, the lower Atlantic, we're looking at $5.95 a gallon
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00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:55,799
right there in the same area, the East Coast. We're up to about $6.13 a gallon in the Rocky
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Mountains. We're looking at $6.40 a gallon. As you go west. Fido goes west, diesel goes up.
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00:37:02,679 --> 00:37:09,158
It's just sort of the name of the game. Now, out there in the Midwest, we've got $6.52 per gallon.
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And when we say the Midwest, we're talking about a giant swath of the United States. So take that
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into consideration too. You got a lot of different places out in the Midwest where maybe you can
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00:37:20,250 --> 00:37:24,449
save a few cents. You know, you got to pay attention to those fuel solutions in a market
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00:37:24,449 --> 00:37:31,049
like this. Uh, the West Coast, excluding California, which I think is a very important
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distinction here. And I'll tell you why in a second. The West Coast, excluding California, we're
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00:37:35,409 --> 00:37:42,289
sitting at $6.64 on average now. California always checking in here, doing their own
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00:37:42,290 --> 00:37:47,169
thing. You know, the counterculture really popularized in the 1960s out in California, the
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00:37:47,169 --> 00:37:52,769
free love movement, uh, tune in, drop out, whatever, uh, they were doing. Timothy O'Leary and those guys
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00:37:52,770 --> 00:37:57,649
with all the LSD experimentation that they were doing. Things got weird in California back in the
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00:37:57,649 --> 00:38:02,769
60s, and, well, let's just put it this way, they haven't necessarily changed for the better. Things
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00:38:02,770 --> 00:38:07,609
are still weird out in California, especially when you consider diesel prices averaging
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00:38:07,610 --> 00:38:14,369
$8.18 a gallon. I want that to sit with you for a
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00:38:14,370 --> 00:38:21,309
second. If you have a 100 gallon tank, it will cost you $818 to fill
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00:38:21,350 --> 00:38:28,270
said tank. Now, that doesn't necessarily sound like a world ender for just
397
00:38:28,270 --> 00:38:33,270
one tank, but when you consider we're pumping through a lot of tanks of this stuff, we've got
398
00:38:33,270 --> 00:38:40,229
200 trucks. Uh, it starts to add up fast. And, uh, we don't want
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00:38:40,229 --> 00:38:44,270
to get out there to California if we can stay away from it. You know, I've had so many drivers
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00:38:44,270 --> 00:38:50,229
over my four years of making podcasts for truck drivers tell me that they might as well go to
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00:38:50,270 --> 00:38:55,709
their dispatcher and tear the California page out of the atlas, because they will not go there if
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00:38:55,710 --> 00:39:02,229
they're not absolutely forced to. And I understand why it's not only the diesel prices, it's the red
403
00:39:02,269 --> 00:39:08,949
tape. Okay. And I'm pretty sure that just across from like Arizona into California or or maybe
404
00:39:08,949 --> 00:39:12,989
you're going from a little bit further north, maybe you're coming down from Oregon into
405
00:39:13,029 --> 00:39:18,119
California. There's a giant red ribbon around the entire state of California, and you have to drive
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00:39:18,159 --> 00:39:24,600
through it to get into the state. And once you've broken that ribbon, well guess what? Uh, you know,
407
00:39:24,639 --> 00:39:29,999
the the speed limits are different. There's so many more laws that you have to pay attention to
408
00:39:30,000 --> 00:39:35,999
the emissions. They're really, really, uh, tight about that stuff up there. And they're going to
409
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:42,839
charge you almost $8.20 a gallon for diesel right now. It is not the place that you want to be going.
410
00:39:42,879 --> 00:39:48,360
If you do have to get out there, you hope that you can fuel up outside of California and get your
411
00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:53,519
driving done in and get the heck out of that state before you have to fuel up again, because
412
00:39:53,560 --> 00:40:00,120
we're on the order of almost $2 a gallon more expensive than sort of the rest of the national
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00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:04,599
average. And that's why I told you off the top here when we started talking diesel prices, that
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California is weighing the average towards the bad side, much more than some of the states that
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00:40:10,959 --> 00:40:17,899
have cheaper diesel are able to drag that average down. So when I say maybe somebody turned
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00:40:17,899 --> 00:40:22,540
on a flashlight at the end of the tunnel or at the middle of a very long tunnel, or maybe, just
417
00:40:22,540 --> 00:40:28,099
maybe, we can see the light at the end of this long, dark tunnel. I don't know, I can't tell you
418
00:40:28,100 --> 00:40:34,379
that right now. I can tell you that $6 and almost $0.40 a gallon on average across the United
419
00:40:34,379 --> 00:40:40,259
States is not where we want to see it. And we're probably going to need to see some things change
420
00:40:40,259 --> 00:40:45,340
globally before this starts to come down. You heard you heard me earlier mention the Strait of
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00:40:45,340 --> 00:40:52,299
Hormuz. Um, I was also watching some news about the, uh, political sphere. I think it was about
422
00:40:52,299 --> 00:40:57,819
a week ago. And I feel like the president came out and said something along the lines of, we're
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00:40:57,820 --> 00:41:04,340
discussing, uh, some options with Zelensky from Ukraine, trying to get him to stop bombing Russian,
424
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Russian oil refineries. And then I saw a tweet from, uh, Zelensky that kind of said, yeah, we're
425
00:41:10,020 --> 00:41:13,819
we're in talks right now and we like where this is going. And then I think I woke up the next
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00:41:13,820 --> 00:41:20,349
morning and saw yet another burning Russian oil refinery that had just endured attack from an
427
00:41:20,350 --> 00:41:26,349
attack from Ukraine. And listen, I don't care what side of that conflict your heart settles on,
428
00:41:26,350 --> 00:41:31,349
that's not really what we're talking about here. I'm not here to take a stance and tell you I
429
00:41:31,350 --> 00:41:38,149
think XYZ needs to happen. What I'm telling you is, from a practical and logical standpoint, if
430
00:41:38,149 --> 00:41:43,869
anybody is bombing anybody else's diesel refineries, you're not going to see the price of
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00:41:43,870 --> 00:41:50,549
diesel go down. If anybody is, um, menacing ships in the Strait of Hormuz or it's
432
00:41:50,550 --> 00:41:57,310
choked off at all from its normal, um, just run through that. All these ships that come through
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00:41:57,310 --> 00:42:03,870
the strait are still able to travel freely, um, and get to where they're going. That's all good for
434
00:42:03,870 --> 00:42:08,949
diesel prices, but that ain't the way that it's sitting right now. And so until some of that
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00:42:08,949 --> 00:42:15,409
changes, we might not see some of these diesel prices come down. We hope we've got our fingers
436
00:42:15,409 --> 00:42:20,769
crossed. We would love to have a high five moment with diesel prices, like we've got to have about
437
00:42:20,770 --> 00:42:27,009
capacity here in these last couple of months, so we'll keep you up to date on that as best we can.
438
00:42:27,330 --> 00:42:32,929
Um, but, you know, digging a little bit deeper into the research here, the EIA says the problem is
439
00:42:32,929 --> 00:42:39,249
largely the global distillate supply. Right. We're having a supply issue right now. Why? Well, I saw
440
00:42:39,250 --> 00:42:44,649
burning oil refineries on the news. It's it's pretty simple. That's where we're at. And let's
441
00:42:44,649 --> 00:42:51,648
hope something changes here, uh, sooner rather than later. But for a pneumatic carrier like
442
00:42:51,649 --> 00:42:58,408
bulk is, I want to kind of get this to where we want to talk about. We talked about spot rates for
443
00:42:58,409 --> 00:43:03,489
vans and reefers and such, and that doesn't really touch us here. But what does touch us is
444
00:43:03,489 --> 00:43:09,889
construction. And the newest census construction report was released October 1st. So these numbers
445
00:43:09,889 --> 00:43:15,579
are even a couple days younger than the diesel numbers and the freight market numbers that have
446
00:43:15,580 --> 00:43:22,539
already given you. August US construction spending ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of
447
00:43:22,580 --> 00:43:29,219
$2.2 trillion. That's up almost a full percentage point from July, and it's
448
00:43:29,219 --> 00:43:36,059
down 1.7% from August 2025. Contract private construction increased
449
00:43:36,060 --> 00:43:42,819
1.1% over the month. Um, private nonresidential construction increased
450
00:43:42,820 --> 00:43:49,019
1% over the month, and public construction increased 0.2% over the month. So we're seeing
451
00:43:49,020 --> 00:43:54,658
that tick up in a positive direction, especially where we're concerned. Highway construction was
452
00:43:54,659 --> 00:44:01,539
running at approximately $150.6 billion annualized, essentially unchanged from the
453
00:44:01,540 --> 00:44:08,339
month of July to October. And this matters for bulk. All right. We want to see these numbers start
454
00:44:08,340 --> 00:44:14,999
to tick up because, well, cement limestone lime and similar materials that we hall ultimately depend
455
00:44:15,040 --> 00:44:21,840
heavily on construction and industrial activity. The USGS estimates that the United States shipped
456
00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:28,679
approximately 100 million metric tons of cement in 2025, valued at roughly $17
457
00:44:28,679 --> 00:44:35,599
billion. Now, about 70 to 75% of that went to ready mix concrete producers, 11%
458
00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:42,079
to concrete product manufacturers, 8 to 10% went to contractors, and 5 to 10% went to other
459
00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:48,479
customers. US Portland and blended cement production was approximately 82 million metric
460
00:44:48,519 --> 00:44:55,240
tons. So this is a really good career to be in right now because we are cranking out the cement,
461
00:44:55,240 --> 00:45:01,800
and a lot of the things that bulk is going to haul are going to factor into that production. But
462
00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:07,719
I think as we draw the entire thing into a nice closed circle and wrap this episode up for you
463
00:45:07,719 --> 00:45:14,609
today, um, capacity really may be the story of 2026. The Logistics Managers Index
464
00:45:14,610 --> 00:45:21,369
measured transportation capacity at a 40 in August. Now, I'll admit something to you guys here.
465
00:45:21,370 --> 00:45:28,249
This managers index that logistics puts together. The logistics managers index is a
466
00:45:28,249 --> 00:45:33,609
bit like the quarterback rating for me. I know that the number will be high if the quarterback
467
00:45:33,610 --> 00:45:38,329
plays good. I know that the number will be low if he throws a bunch of interceptions and fumbles
468
00:45:38,330 --> 00:45:43,248
the ball and gets sacked a bunch of times. I don't really know what the number looks like between
469
00:45:43,249 --> 00:45:49,489
those two. If he throws five touchdowns, 450 yards with a really high completion percentage and
470
00:45:49,489 --> 00:45:55,210
doesn't throw the ball to the other team, it's a 138. If he doesn't do all that stuff and he does
471
00:45:55,210 --> 00:46:01,409
the opposite, it's like a 40. But I don't know what it means. Between that and this logistics
472
00:46:01,409 --> 00:46:07,810
manager's index is a lot the same. But it was at 40 in August. It's not the same as the QBR. So
473
00:46:07,810 --> 00:46:13,549
don't think that that's a bad number. Above 50 means it's expanding capacity. Below 50 means
474
00:46:13,550 --> 00:46:20,509
we're contracting the capacity. So 40 represents a pretty substantial contraction
475
00:46:20,510 --> 00:46:26,989
in the capacity. Meanwhile, Transportation Prices Index hit 90 an
476
00:46:26,990 --> 00:46:33,709
extraordinarily high reading. Act independently reports that spot capacity is at decade lows.
477
00:46:33,790 --> 00:46:39,909
You put all this together, you've got capacity falling available trucks falling, rates going up,
478
00:46:39,909 --> 00:46:46,668
fuel just doing fuel things and being a wild card right now, but only going up. And freight demand
479
00:46:46,709 --> 00:46:53,628
has maintained a relatively level base here with maybe some modest improvement. Okay, so there's
480
00:46:53,629 --> 00:46:59,669
the trucking industry in five lines for you. Capacity is shrinking, available trucks shrinking
481
00:46:59,670 --> 00:47:06,628
rates, rising fuel through the roof and freight demand pretty level. We're not at a
482
00:47:06,629 --> 00:47:12,959
boom yet Okay, but if we continue to see things trend in the right direction, we'll say up and to
483
00:47:12,959 --> 00:47:17,878
the right. Uh, good things can happen. We could be at a freight boom, but it's going to take some
484
00:47:17,879 --> 00:47:23,999
time. And diesel prices have got to get under control. That's your freight market spotlight here
485
00:47:24,000 --> 00:47:29,678
on always pneumatic, never static. I appreciate you joining me for today's freight Market Spotlight
486
00:47:29,679 --> 00:47:35,399
and also helping me introduce this new segment that we have called Laura explains it all. Once
487
00:47:35,399 --> 00:47:40,519
again, big thanks to Laura Holstein and Jackie Thomas, uh, for taking part in that. They did
488
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:46,399
amazing. I can't wait to see what other types of things we can help correct and rectify on this
489
00:47:46,399 --> 00:47:50,959
show. I always say when we can move the needle just a little bit here on always pneumatic, never
490
00:47:50,959 --> 00:47:56,159
static, we really feel like we're doing our job. So thanks again to Laura and Jackie for playing ball
491
00:47:56,160 --> 00:48:02,319
today, and stay tuned for more examples of Laura explains it all right here on Always Pneumatic,
492
00:48:02,319 --> 00:48:08,019
never static in the future. Don't forget one more reminder to go take the quizzes that are
493
00:48:08,019 --> 00:48:14,859
associated with the episodes@ podcast.bulktransit.com. That is how you are going to get
494
00:48:14,860 --> 00:48:21,699
entered into our drawing for the $400 Amazon gift card. And with the holidays approaching ever
495
00:48:21,699 --> 00:48:27,418
so quickly, I know that you all would love to have that gift card in your pocket. So take the quizzes
496
00:48:27,459 --> 00:48:34,019
get entered and we will tell you when we're going to draw sometime in the very, very near future.
497
00:48:34,019 --> 00:48:38,620
Thank you so much for being here today. All you book and spur drivers, stay safe out there on the
498
00:48:38,620 --> 00:48:44,100
road and we'll see you next Wednesday for another hour of content right here from always pneumatic,
499
00:48:44,100 --> 00:48:50,698
never static. Be good out there. And that's all she blows for today's episode of Always Pneumatic,
500
00:48:50,699 --> 00:48:57,019
never static. Your number one and probably only Pneumatic Trucking podcast, brought to you by Bulk
501
00:48:57,060 --> 00:49:02,539
Transit. Thanks for rolling with us today. Till next time, stay safe, keep those lines clear and
502
00:49:02,539 --> 00:49:03,699
keep it pumping.